INVESTMENT PORTAL
OF RUSSIAN REGIONS
0%
LOADING DATA
IPCC Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5°C

Research

OPEN PDF

IPCC Special Report: Global Warming of 1.5°C

Release date: 27 September 2019

Topics:

Climate Change

Environment

Sustainable Development

The National Project “Ecology”

The report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), approved in Incheon, South Korea, and published in October 2018, includes over 6,000 scientific references, and was prepared by 91 authors from 40 countries.

The Special Report on 1.5°C assesses three main themes:

  1. what would be required to limit warming to 1.5°C (mitigation pathways);
  2. the impacts of 1.5°C of warming, compared to 2°C and higher;
  3. strengthening the global response to climate change; mitigation and adaptation options.

The key finding of the report is that meeting a 1.5°C target is possible but would require «deep emissions reductions» and «rapid, far-reaching and unprecedented changes in all aspects of society.» Furthermore, the report finds that «limiting global warming to 1.5°C compared with 2°C would reduce challenging impacts on ecosystems, human health and well-being» and that a 2°C temperature increase would exacerbate extreme weather, rising sea levels and diminishing Arctic sea ice, coral bleaching, and loss of ecosystems, among other impacts.

The report also has modelling that shows that, for global warming to be limited to 1.5°C, «global net human-caused emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) would need to fall by about 45 percent from 2010 levels by 2030, reaching ’net zero’ around 2050.» The reduction of emissions by 2030 and its associated changes and challenges, including rapid decarbonisation, was a key focus on much of the reporting. Even assuming full implementation of conditional and unconditional Nationally Determined Contributions submitted by nations in the Paris Agreement, net emissions would increase compared to 2010, leading to a warming of about 3°C by 2100, and more afterwards. In contrast, limiting warming below or close to 1.5°C would require to decrease net emissions by around 45% by 2030. Even just for limiting global warming to below 2°C, CO2 emissions should decline by 25% by 2030 and by 100% by 2075.

Pathways (i.e. scenarios and portfolios of mitigation options) that would allow such reduction by 2050 permit only about 8% of global electricity to be generated by gas and 0-2% by coal (to be offset by carbon dioxide capture and storage). In these pathways, renewables are projected to supply 70-85% of electricity in 2050 and the share of nuclear energy is modelled to increase. They also assume that other measures are simultaneously taken: e.g. non-CO2 emissions (such as methane, black carbon, nitrous oxide) are to be similarly reduced, energy demand is unchanged, reduced by 30% or offset by an unprecedented scale of carbon dioxide removal methods yet to be developed.
All analytics

Analytics on the topic

All analytical materials
Digitalization in small and medium-sized towns of Russia

11 December 2018

Digitalization in small and medium-sized towns of Russia

This publication by Vysokovsky Graduate School of Urbanism in collaboration with Yandex.Taxi studies digital services penetration in Russia by comparing levels of digitalization in localities of varying degree of urbanization.
READ
Provision of Technology Transfer at the National Level

1 November 2019

Provision of Technology Transfer at the National Level

The paper analyses the concept of technology transfer as the main element of scientific and technological development. The relationship of technology transfer with basic and applied research is defined. The tools of forecasting as a means of analysis and...
READ
Russia Green Finance: Unlocking Opportunities for Green Investments (Russian)

30 December 2019

Russia Green Finance: Unlocking Opportunities for Green Investments (Russian)

The policy note prepared by the World Bank Group experts explores opportunities for creating a market for green investments in Russia. The document describes global market trends, universally accepted criteria for green projects,...
READ
World Bank: the COVID-19 pandemic is a global crisis of a magnitude we have never seen in our lifetimes

14 April 2020

World Bank: the COVID-19 pandemic is a global crisis of a magnitude we have never seen in our lifetimes

The Roscongress Foundation continues to expand its knowledge base about the coronavirus, as well as about global practices for fighting the infection and remedying the financial effects of the pandemic.
READ